Re-writing History on Wall Street
by Thomas Mullooly on April 3, 2007
No wonder many people have lousy opinions of Wall Street folks.
Read on:
Written in Barron’s March 5, 2007 issue, Bill Alpert noted that nearly 20% of “Analyst Recommendations” over a ten year period from 1993-2002 were changed — after the fact.
Twenty Percent!
As a result of the changes, the recommendations seemed to be 15% to 42% better than what actually happened.
In my experience, it made me sick to watch analysts make changes to their recommendations — then see them use the closing price from the night before — rather than the open price (which would be the first chance you could buy or sell the stock).
For example, if a company releases terrible news after the market closes, the downgrade would often cite the previous day’s 4 pm closing price — rather than the lower opening price the next morning — when the downgrade was actually issued.
This is another reason why we want to eliminate the “noise” surrounding a stock…and just follow the supply/demand in a stock or mutual fund. If there are more buyers than sellers, prices must rise.
Simple.
Tom
Thomas Mullooly
Mullooly Asset Management LLC
Our Only Business Is Fee-Only Investment Advice
www.mullooly.net
support@mullooly.net
Related posts:
- Are We OK?
- Am I the Only One Losing?
- Less Than One Percent
- ETF Explosion, part II
- Here’s The Signal
Tagged as:
Mutual Funds,
NYSE,
supply and demand,
Wall Street
Re-writing History on Wall Street
by Thomas Mullooly on April 3, 2007
No wonder many people have lousy opinions of Wall Street folks.
Read on:
Written in Barron’s March 5, 2007 issue, Bill Alpert noted that nearly 20% of “Analyst Recommendations” over a ten year period from 1993-2002 were changed — after the fact.
Twenty Percent!
As a result of the changes, the recommendations seemed to be 15% to 42% better than what actually happened.
In my experience, it made me sick to watch analysts make changes to their recommendations — then see them use the closing price from the night before — rather than the open price (which would be the first chance you could buy or sell the stock).
For example, if a company releases terrible news after the market closes, the downgrade would often cite the previous day’s 4 pm closing price — rather than the lower opening price the next morning — when the downgrade was actually issued.
This is another reason why we want to eliminate the “noise” surrounding a stock…and just follow the supply/demand in a stock or mutual fund. If there are more buyers than sellers, prices must rise.
Simple.
Tom
Thomas Mullooly
Mullooly Asset Management LLC
Our Only Business Is Fee-Only Investment Advice
www.mullooly.net
support@mullooly.net
Related posts:
Tagged as: Mutual Funds, NYSE, supply and demand, Wall Street