Probably the toughest part of covered call writing is finding the right idea.
And ideas change all the time — as markets change, prices change and the option prices (premiums) also change.
Let’s quickly review what “covered call writing” actually means.
Covered Call Writing (sometimes called “buy writes”) involves the simultaneous purchase of stock AND sale of options. Remember, any time you sell something, you are bringing money into your account. So you are BUYING a stock (you are spending money) and also SELLING something at the same time (bringing money in).
If you were to buy 500 shares of XYZ at $50, you would SPEND $25,000. If you were to buy 500 shares of XYZ and also sell 5 calls with a strike price of $55 (sold at a price of $9), you would only SPEND $20,500. Put another way, your “net” cost would be $41 (buy the stock at $50, sell the calls for $9).
With me so far?
Great. Onward.
Now, whenever we examine any stock, there are three possible outcomes:
- Stock moves up
- Stock does nothing
- Stock goes down
In only one of those scenarios will you make money if you simply buy the stock. Right?
Now what we have done in this example is this:
- We lowered our out-of-pocket cost to buy the stock from $50 to $41.
- We have protected our “downside.” Yes, the stock trades around $50. But we are at break-even – even if the stock falls to $41. And the charts will clearly define where we should have a stop order to protect us.
- Yes, we have limited “upside” — the stock could be taken away from us at $55, but we were paid $9 for that chance. (By the way, if that happens, what is the gain? Bought at $50, called away (sold) at $55 for a 10% gain, plus you were paid $9 as well. Sweet.)
When looking for candidates for call writing, here are a few things I try to keep in mind:
Covered call writing works well when the market is confused. Like now. We have short periods of time where the market runs straight up, and then reverses quickly. In the big picture, we are still in a negative trend for most major indices, but getting closer and closer to testing resistance lines. We still do not have confirmation this is a significant turning point, and no clear signals the market is turned a page.
So covered call writing is also an excellent way to get some money into the market, and still protect your downside exposure, or simply just bring in additional money into the account. It’s a great way to goose the yield on your money as well.
But the main thing to know is that you need individual stocks that are in uptrends. A few weeks ago, there were only a small handful of stocks in uptrends. Now there are more. Here are some stocks that are in uptrends that may make good covered call writing candidates. These are *NOT* recommendations. Call me and we can walk through what makes sense for your own individual situation.
Again, I am not recommending writing calls for everyone on the following:
IBM, Amazon, Reliance Steel, Imperial Oil, Scotts (Miracle Gro), Apple, EMC, Borg-Warner, AutoNation, Staples, and many more.
We need option papers on file. And we need to have a thorough discussion so you understand clearly how this works. I would not write about this if I did not feel comfortable at least discussing the topic with you.
It’s worth a look, don’t you think?
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Mullooly Asset Management Podcast for March 3, 2011
by Thomas Mullooly on March 4, 2011
We encourage our readers and listeners to our podcast to consult with their investment adviser before making a decision to buy or sell any investment. If you do not have an investment adviser in the New Jersey or New York area, we encourage you to contact Mullooly Asset Management at 732-223-9000 or through our website.
Under no circumstances should any of the content discussed on this podcast be considered investment advice.
We’re just talking…about your money, your 401k account and the markets!
There are two primary topics to the podcast this week:
1. The John Dorfman column this week.
In this week’s syndicated column (found here), Dorfman discusses his “Balance Sheet Powerhouses.” These are companies that have met certain characteristics, particularly strong balance sheets. Our questions is: does having a strong balance sheet imply good stock performance? We’re skeptical.
After all, Netflix did not make Dorfman’s list, yet the stock did very well in 2010.
Does that make Netflix bad?
There were plenty of well-known names that did make the list…names like Google, Qualcomm and Forest Labs.
Incidentally, should we tell him all three of these stocks under-performed the S&P500 in 2010?
2. The increased volatility seen lately in the market, and what that should mean to us.
We have seen many of the charts we are following for our clients move straight up, without a break, over the last few months. This makes us a little nervous…but the nervousness keeps us humble. We have a little more cash on the sidelines than others. This level of cash does not terribly concern us. As we mentioned in this week’s email, we have cash because we have taken some money off the table recently (good), having more cash than usual helps reduce “the noise” or volatility in your account (also good), and this cash gives us some buying power when we spot an opportunity (good).
All good.
We could really use a pullback on many charts. One of the stronger patterns we look for are charts that have gone straight up…like 16, 18 or 20 X’s for example. When these stocks finally reverse into O’s, that is our time to start watching. Many times these strong charts will often return to climbing after a short break. We are looking for these situations right now.
The current volatility seen in February 2011 is actually not a terrible thing — especially for the charts we are following. We need this pull back to correct the over-bought condition we started seeing in January 2011.
We spend a fair amount of time in the podcast discussing how charts move up and down based on information. This information may consist of good information, bad information, rumors and even inside information. Whatever type the information is irrelevant. What decisions people make based on that news (or non-news) is what matters. When you get right down to the brass tacks, price is the ultimate indicator. If a company has a great new product, a great earnings story, great growth story …whatever…people will take action, either buying or selling. So what we want to track is the PRICE. The day-to-day fluctuations get smoothed out with point and figure charts, showing us the bigger picture (the trend). This is what makes Apple a terrific looking chart and Blockbuster Video a terrible looking chart.
The Mullooly Asset Management Podcast can be found below. The Podcast can also be found on iTunes. Go to the iTunes Store and simply search for “mullooly.” Under no circumstances should the information contained in this blog or podcast be considered investment advice
Thank you for listening. We welcome your comments and questions.
Companies mentioned in this podcast:
Netflix (NFLX)
Google (GOOG)
Qualcomm (QCOM)
Forest Labs (FRX)
Apple (AAPL)
Blockbuster
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
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