commodity prices

Commodity Prices Going Higher

by Thomas Mullooly on June 30, 2011

Weekly Commentary for March 22, 2011

Lots of chatter about how Japan will be rebuilt, and who is going to benefit. Hold on, cowboy.

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The speculation swirls around heavy machinery, and earth-movers for example. Others are talking up the idea Japan will want to get to work on nuclear power.  But a lot of folks are still missing the point.

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So before folks do “the freak” about how long the wait might be to get a new iPad2, think about this:

Japanese dairy farmers are being told they cannot sell their milk. Or their spinach. And now fish are showing up with high levels of radiation.  Would you drink the water?  Japan, the third biggest economy, needs FOOD.

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If you are relying on a blog post for specific investment advice, you are making a huge mistake. Please speak with an investment adviser before making ANY investment decisions.

If you do not have an investment adviser, we encourage you to contact Mullooly Asset Management at 732-223-9000, or through our website.

Under no circumstances should the content discussed on this post be considered specific investment advice.

Funny coincidence how commodities have been moving quickly to the top of the favored sectors list.

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These point and figure charts continue to measure what is in demand, what is in supply. Point and Figure charts do not read the headlines, and do not speculate on what is (or is not) working. They track prices. And people vote with their wallets. Every single day.

Which sectors are grabbing the lead tells the tale… Commodity prices (and inflation) appear to be going higher.

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Commodities Can Zig Zag

by Thomas Mullooly on June 29, 2011

Weekly Commentary for April 12, 2011

Lesson #1: Commodity prices can rise sharply.
Lesson #2: Commodity prices can fall sharply.

July 11 2008: Crude trades at $147
July 18 2008: Crude closes at $129
This was a quintuple-bottom break.  Bad.

Two WEEKS after reaching $147:
July 29 2008: Crude trades at $120
This was also a support line break. Important!

Then, just over a month later:
September 2, 2008: Crude trades at $106
September 16, 2008: Crude trades at $91
The price of crude was sliced by one-third in 60 days

Two months later:
October 16, 2008: Crude trades at $70
Crude gets sliced in half in roughly 90 days.

If you are relying on a blog post for specific investment advice, you are making a huge mistake. Please speak with an investment adviser before making ANY investment decisions.

If you do not have an investment adviser, we encourage you to contact Mullooly Asset Management at 732-223-9000, or through our website.

Under no circumstances should the content discussed on this post be considered specific investment advice.

And it’s not just oil. Even gold, which (to some) never goes down, dropped from a shade over $1000 in March 2008 to six months later (October 2008) gold was bouncing around $700.

Commodities can zig and zag (quickly) because (unlike stocks) there is no dividend, which keeps some people invested.  Also unlike stocks, there will never be earnings reports which could drive prices up or down. There are also very few “fundamental” analysts talking about commodities.

Especially with commodities …when the charts change, we MUST change.

If You Found This Article Helpful, We Have A Free Report We’d Like To Share With You:

3 Questions You Should Ask Your Money Manager TODAY. 

(simply include your name and email to get the report,
along with market updates from Mullooly Asset Management)

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The Economic Recovery of 2009, part IV

April 4, 2009

First, understand why recessions start in the first place. Banks stop lending. Money supply shrinks. Like it or not, the world runs on credit. When credit dries up, business evaporates.

Read the full article →